Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 118.815780 130.611307 142.692713 155.968981 170.125071 184.744787 200.961285
2024-12-15 96.760590 114.039335 132.608440 153.947723 177.690982 203.198298 232.570812
2024-12-22 84.753075 104.980733 127.465686 154.106323 184.598709 218.204380 257.830497
2024-12-29 78.293255 101.059284 127.075171 158.662942 195.630392 237.183774 287.071647
2025-01-05 71.569082 95.995348 124.628606 160.172736 202.601610 251.126246 310.299093
2025-01-12 65.569574 91.186113 121.936178 160.890816 208.229308 263.210514 331.184643
2025-01-19 58.431510 84.355426 116.240251 157.466977 208.463880 268.597453 343.940354
2025-01-26 55.958403 83.214461 117.383688 162.268817 218.549456 285.677198 370.628431
2025-02-02 53.034490 81.231274 117.253431 165.309641 226.361543 299.982474 394.040430
2025-02-09 49.654942 78.381840 115.788770 166.468942 231.694235 311.196919 413.712566
2025-02-16 48.131201 77.932532 117.363747 171.473441 241.856119 328.397432 440.825377
2025-02-23 45.505452 75.760889 116.494553 173.164855 247.717411 340.236666 461.378094
2025-03-02 41.923074 72.073931 113.481523 171.990907 249.944158 347.680851 476.766772
2025-03-09 38.989973 69.150803 111.370755 171.913726 253.542227 356.869750 494.438214
2025-03-16 36.320328 66.430485 109.376356 171.846009 257.039832 365.866439 511.859738
2025-03-23 35.418937 66.329911 111.050929 176.806177 267.249225 383.564167 540.479599
2025-03-30 33.594774 64.673566 110.386922 178.436787 272.950858 395.435236 561.720549
2025-04-06 31.665405 62.721161 109.181054 179.214089 277.438859 405.709460 580.947274
2025-04-13 28.680735 58.857553 104.954663 175.508909 275.639846 407.603620 589.241123
2025-04-20 28.208197 59.113604 106.905508 180.704799 286.156236 425.863616 618.981889
2025-04-27 27.285905 58.548292 107.560483 183.993488 294.032646 440.662601 644.300223
2025-05-04 25.931588 57.153837 106.865681 185.246953 299.035711 451.631179 664.645336
2025-05-11 25.617151 57.553767 108.964739 190.655884 309.944577 470.628195 695.735487